The UFC returns this week with another performance from the Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada.
A very good card on paper with some intriguing fits. Potential rankings at stake in some of the fights and always good to see some vets brave the rise.
As usual I’m eager to get some at a good chance this week, so let’s hope we win a coin!
Belal Muhammad vs. Lyman Good
Love Belal here. Feels like he’s pushing the action and the better shots land on his feet. Think Good probably has the greater power, but thinks Belal could be more clinical. Also, when it hits the floor and it will, you have to favor Muhammad’s ground play. Belal has come back very well from the Geoff Neal defeat, looking a little more clinical and a little more urgent in his game.
Good did not impress me last time against Rencountre. Thought it was a slow affair that fit his game plan. Was a good victory of his, but the battle was fought in his favor. I feel like Belal Muhammad leading the dance here and winning the standing battle, using takedowns and dominating on the floor. Very happy with the price shift too. Okay always a danger with his power but I lean towards Belal here.
Selection: Belal Muhammad $ 1.82
Roxanne Modafferi teen Lauren Murphy
Thought Roxanne would be a more dominant favorite here. Her last two wins were the best of her career, beating Antonina Shevchenko and Maycee Barber. While Murphy herself scored a win on the books, let’s be honest she did not beat Andrea Lee. She did have a good win over Borella before that. It would seem that Murphy has the lead in hitting, but I’m not sold that she can keep it that way. I think Roxanne gets the takedowns and wins rounds via top control and ground and pound. When I look at the recent form, I think Roxanne has been a revival lately, with good cardiovascular, fighting IQ and overall improvements in her MMA game.
I think Roxanne wins this fight 30-27 or at least a 29-28 with a solid sound and groundwork.
Selection: Roxanne Modafferi $ 1.88
Austin Hubbard vs. Max Rohskopf
Immediate thoughts about this went back to Hubbard’s last fight when he fought a similar one as an opponent, Mark O Madsen. Madsen dominated that fight for two rounds before gassing hard in round 3 and limping across the finish line. The relevance it has for this week is that Rohskopf is a tough wrestler but with very good BJJ
I think Rohskopf has the wrestling to dominate Hubbard for at least 2 of the 3 rounds. Plus I think he has the ground game to work a finishing touch. He’s still raw in his MMA career, but even if he lets that gas tank run dry within two rounds, I do not see Hubbard being able to capitalize on completing the fight. Fortunately, Rohskopf plays money line and small by submission.
Selection: Rohskopf ML $ 1.60
Win by Submission $ 3
Oscar Piechota vs. Marc-Andre Barriault
Not to dig into this purchase for me too much Piechota is round one submission or he’s done. To be honest, I also do not think is UFC caliber and loser is probably cut.
Barriault is a lot, but does toss with a little heat. He can easily get to Piechota’s ground game early or I think he can finish Piechota’s gasification in round two or three.
Selection: Fight Does Not Go to Resolution $ 1.44
Shane Burgos vs. Josh Emmett
Oh boy, this has potential. I’m a big fan of Hurricane Shane. I think once he crosses out some of his mistakes, he could be a legitimate title challenger. However, I’m also a Josh Emmett fan, that guy jerks bodies with his hooks. I think Emmett is a knockout or bust here. He has a 100% knockout rate in the UFC and Burgos tends to lead with hands down and chin high.
I think Burgos can withstand the power shots of Emmett and can take him apart with his smooth stand. Will Burgos also not rule to give Emmet trouble on the ground if the fight ends like this. In the end, I think Burgos can avoid / resist the power of Emmet and either show his way to a victory and achieve an end of his own.
Selection: Shane Burgos $ 1.75